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donbrown.
donbrown.-
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donbrown
The National Weather Service “predicts” this present high pressure system will cause a massive storm the last week of February 2016 into a few days in March 2016 !
I Hope so cause it was over 90F here in Los Angeles ! Looking at the cameras of the places I sled are melting fast !
Storm 17-19 FEB ..
Storm starting noonish NORCAL on WED and by sundown SOCAL
Might rain a 1/4 inch SOCAL 75% chance
Kern / Tulare county- up to 1/2 inch 90% chance
Mammoth ONE inch rain 98% chance … looks like mostly rain at 8000 feet
BEAR VALLEY CA mostly all snow at 7000 feet at least 1 1/2 feet snow 95% chance
Truckee one inch rain … 2-6 inches snow 98% chance
Estimates have been decreasing for SOCAL and increasing for NORCAL
Etna CA 2 plus inches rain 100% chance over 4 days 17-20th
Idaho panhandle and WA west coast getting 3 plus inches water did not look if it is snow
rain a .33 inch SOCAL 75% chance
Kern / Tulare county- up to 1 inch rain 90% chance snow level 7000 feet
Mammoth 1.5 inch rain 98% chance … looks like maybe foot snow at 8000 feet 2 plus at lodge
BEAR VALLEY CA mostly all snow at 7000 feet at least 1 1/2 feet snow 95% chance
Truckee one inch water min … 8-18″ inches snow 98% chance
Increasing for SOCAL to Truckee BUT decreasing for Shasta
Etna CA 1.5 (was over 2 in) inches rain 100% chance over 4 days 17-20th
Storm chance for Shasta area now 30% for last week of month.
European model still more accurate USA model says we are getting twice amount as stated above.
Australia takes all forecasts and does an estimate … which for past weeks declare a HUGE storm cycle end of February … and now first week MArch !
As of today 2014-2015 rain year had more rain than 2015-2016 season SO FAR for SOCAL
Storm will not “split” and go north south around the Sierras so … ESTIMATES are INCREASING for the SIERRAS.
At least a foot at 7000 feet over the entire Sierras from Kern County into Oregon State.
accum 4-10 inches 6000-7000 feet.
From NOAA
A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS
AFTERNOON…BECOMING ALL SNOW TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS
EXPECTED BETWEEN 10 PM AND 8 AM WHERE SNOWFALL RATES COULD
BRIEFLY REACH 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 12 TO 20 INCHES ABOVE 7000 FEET WITH 4 TO
10 INCHES BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000 FEET…INCLUDING LAKE TAHOE.
HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 89.2 TO 6 INCHES EAST OF HIGHWAY 395 IN MONO COUNTY.
* SNOW LEVELS: STARTING BETWEEN 6500 TO 7500 FEET THEN RAPIDLY
FALLING TO ALL VALLEY FLOORS OVERNIGHT. APPROXIMATE RAIN TO SNOW
CHANGEOVER TIMES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
* DONNER PASS AND ECHO SUMMIT: 4 TO 6 PM TODAY.
* LAKE TAHOE LEVEL: 10 PM TO MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* HIGHWAY 395/203 INTERCHANGE IN MONO COUNTY: 1 TO 3 AM
THURSDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS: SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL RAPIDLY WITH ROADS QUICKLY
BECOMING SNOW COVERED. SLOW TRAVEL AND CHAIN CONTROLS ARE
LIKELY. THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND HEAVY SNOW MAY CREATE
PERIODS OF NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY…ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT.All the estimates SOUTH of SHASTA have increased ! Etna , around Shasta, went from 2 inches to an inch of water.
Yuba City to Los Angeles gonna get more than estimated the day before and even hours before this posting.
Hope estimates keep climbing and ACCURATE !!!!
Yep no storms predicted for California next 10 days putting us into March.
donbrown
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